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The end of predictability

Predicting climate-related hazards has become more complex than ever due to climate change. A team of experts from Eurac Research have recently published an official guide for comprehensive risk assessment in the context of climate change on behalf of the UN.


Catastrophic flood: The flood in western Germany in the summer of 2021 demonstrated that climate-related hazards are also becoming more severe and complex in Europe. In the village of Schuld, entire houses were washed away.

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19 May 2022by Barbara Baumgartner

The United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) has calculated that between 1998 and 2017, extreme weather events killed more than 553,000 people, causing damages in excess of €1.9 trillion. Due to climate change, hazardous events are becoming more frequent and severe, lasting longer and triggering complex risk cascades. The UNDRR has just published official guidance written by climate impact researcher Marc Zebisch and his team on formulating more comprehensive, systemic hazard analysis.

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